betaARMA: Beta Autoregressive Moving Average Models

Fits Beta Autoregressive Moving Average (BARMA) models for time series data distributed in the standard unit interval (0, 1). The estimation is performed via the conditional maximum likelihood method using the Broyden-Fletcher-Goldfarb-Shanno (BFGS) quasi-Newton algorithm. A ridge penalization scheme is available to improve numerical stability of the estimation, as proposed by Cribari-Neto, Costa and Fonseca (2025) <doi:10.1214/25-BJPS645>. The package includes tools for model fitting, diagnostic checking, and forecasting, along with two hydro-environmental datasets from Brazil. Based on the work of Rocha and Cribari-Neto (2009) <doi:10.1007/s11749-008-0112-z> and the associated erratum Rocha and Cribari-Neto (2017) <doi:10.1007/s11749-017-0528-4>. The original code was developed by Fabio M. Bayer.

Version: 1.2.0
Depends: R (≥ 3.5)
Imports: forecast, ggplot2, rlang, gridExtra
Suggests: knitr, zoo, xtable, here, moments, rmarkdown, tseries, lbfgs, dplyr, scales, testthat (≥ 3.0.0)
Published: 2026-05-23
DOI: 10.32614/CRAN.package.betaARMA
Author: Everton da Costa ORCID iD [aut, cre], Francisco Cribari-Neto ORCID iD [ctb, ths] (Theoretical foundations), Vinicius Scher ORCID iD [ctb]
Maintainer: Everton da Costa <everto.cost at gmail.com>
BugReports: https://github.com/Everton-da-Costa/betaARMA/issues
License: MIT + file LICENSE
URL: https://github.com/Everton-da-Costa/betaARMA
NeedsCompilation: no
Language: en-US
Citation: betaARMA citation info
Materials: README, NEWS
In views: TimeSeries
CRAN checks: betaARMA results

Documentation:

Reference manual: betaARMA.html , betaARMA.pdf
Vignettes: Application: Modeling Relative Humidity in Brasília (source, R code)

Downloads:

Package source: betaARMA_1.2.0.tar.gz
Windows binaries: r-devel: betaARMA_1.2.0.zip, r-release: betaARMA_1.1.0.zip, r-oldrel: betaARMA_1.1.0.zip
macOS binaries: r-release (arm64): betaARMA_1.2.0.tgz, r-oldrel (arm64): betaARMA_1.2.0.tgz, r-release (x86_64): betaARMA_1.1.0.tgz, r-oldrel (x86_64): betaARMA_1.1.0.tgz
Old sources: betaARMA archive

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